- Weather
- 59°Ftypical startModelled estimate
- Field size
- ~400 runners
- Course
- Flat
- Elevation
- 50 ft gain · 0 ft net
Event: Emerald Isle Marathon
Mid-October · Southeast · Multi-Loop
Bald Head Island, NC · Sunday, October 18, 2026
Event: Cape Fear Marathon
Registration opens on the organizer's site
Typical start
60°
Cooler than 7% of U.S. marathons
Modeled historical conditions
Elevation gain
100ft
Flatter than 77% of races
Estimated total climb
Field size
400
Larger than 4% of races
Estimated field
PR potential
8.7/10
Ahead of 47% of races
Almanac model
Percentiles compare this race against all 224 U.S. marathons in the Almanac.
100 ft gain · 0 ft net
Flat course, multi-loop.
Modeled from location, month and coastal proximity, not verified race history.
6 AM
52°
Start
60°
Midday
71°
Typical start sits at 60°F, warm for racing.
Typical dew point 53°F, 22% chance of precipitation, wind around 7 mph. All modeled.
The bottom line
A quietly fast race that does not ask for much beyond honest pacing.
Cape Fear Marathon & Half, presented by Mount to Coast and hosted by Badwater® is a strong choice for a PR attempt, and Bald Head Island offers very little meaningful elevation. The tradeoff is atmosphere: expect long quiet stretches and few spectators.
A loop course around Bald Head Island, NC, with very little meaningful elevation change.
Races with a comparable profile.
Event: Emerald Isle Marathon
Event listed as: Marathon
Event: Marathon Runners