- Weather
- 46°Ftypical startModelled estimate
- Field size
- ~1,000 runners
- Course
- Rolling
- Elevation
- 600 ft gain · 0 ft net
Event listed as: Marathon
Early October · Midwest · Double Loop
Ann Arbor, MI · Saturday, October 3, 2026
Event: Marathon (26.2)
Registration opens on the organizer's site
Typical start
47°
Cooler than 58% of U.S. marathons
Modeled historical conditions
Elevation gain
700ft
Flatter than 20% of races
Estimated total climb
Field size
800
Larger than 31% of races
Estimated field
PR potential
7.3/10
Ahead of 37% of races
Almanac model
Percentiles compare this race against all 224 U.S. marathons in the Almanac.
700 ft gain · 0 ft net
Rolling course, double loop.
Modeled from location, month and coastal proximity, not verified race history.
6 AM
39°
Start
47°
Midday
58°
Typical start sits at 47°F, excellent marathon conditions.
Typical dew point 40°F, 22% chance of precipitation, wind around 7 mph. All modeled.
The bottom line
A small race that trades atmosphere for room to run.
Trinity Health Probility Ann Arbor Marathon is a strong choice for a first marathon, and the course rolls gently without any sustained climbing. The tradeoff is atmosphere: expect long quiet stretches and few spectators.
A loop course around Ann Arbor, MI, with steady rollers that reward even pacing.
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Event listed as: Marathon
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Event listed as: Marathon